CEC ANALYTICS DEPARTMENT
LUCK & SCHEDULE ANALYTICS
All-play performance, expected wins, luck differential, points-against difficulty, and remaining schedule strength. Waste is excluded.
LUCK INDEX
Actual Wins vs Expected Wins
FINALIZED 2026 GAMES
All-Play Standings
HOW TO READ THIS
CEC Luck Model
Expected Wins asks how many wins a manager would expect based on how their score compared with every other real manager each finalized week.
Luck is actual wins minus expected wins. Positive means the schedule has helped; negative means the manager has played better than the record suggests.
Remaining Schedule Strength uses the current scoring averages of future opponents when the official CEC schedule has been entered.